Barcelona, Bayern Munich and Porto can still match their league’s all-time record, while Arsenal and PSG can no longer reach the recent champion average
By mid-April, a title race starts to become a points story. The question is no longer only who is leading, but how many points that team is on course to finish with and how that total compares with the champions of recent seasons in the same league.
Winsportsonline examined the last 10 champions in Europe’s top 7 leagues, the points they finished on, and how the current leaders measure up against those same title-winning totals. That shows which frontrunners are tracking towards a familiar championship tally, which are heading for a lower one, and which can still move into record territory.
The picture is already split in very different ways. Arsenal can no longer reach the recent champion average in England, and PSG are in the same position in France. Barcelona, Bayern Munich and Porto, by contrast, can still draw level with their league’s all-time record if they win every remaining match, while PSV have already secured the Eredivisie title but could still finish with one of the lowest full-season winning totals of the Dutch decade.
Key Takeaways:
- Premier League leaders Arsenal are on 70 points and can still reach only 88, which would leave them below seven of the last 10 English title-winning totals and 12 short of Manchester City’s 100-point record from 2017/18
- In La Liga, Barcelona lead on 79 points and can still climb to 100, enough to draw level with Real Madrid’s all-time record from 2011/12
- Inter’s ceiling in Serie A is 93 points, which would still leave them nine short of Juventus’ 102-point record from 2013/14, but above eight of the last 10 Italian champions
- Bayern Munich are one perfect run away from matching the Bundesliga record they set in 2012/13, with 91 points still possible from here
- France’s current title pace is much lower, as PSG can get to no more than 84 points, still 12 behind the club’s own Ligue 1 record of 96 from 2015/16
- Porto can still turn the current season into anything from a low-end Portuguese title to a record-equalling one, with six more points enough to match the decade’s lowest winning total and a perfect finish taking them to their own 91-point mark from 2021/22
- Already crowned in the Netherlands, PSV can still finish on 86 points if they win all four remaining matches, but even that would leave them five short of the Eredivisie record they set themselves with 91 in 2023/24
Point Tally of the Last 10 Champions in the Premier League

Manchester City’s 100-point title from 2017/18 remains the Premier League record, and no champion since has managed more than Liverpool’s 99 in 2019/20. At the other end of the scale, Leicester’s 81-point triumph in 2015/16 is still the lowest title-winning total in the last decade. City have taken six of the last 10 titles, Liverpool two, with Chelsea and Leicester claiming the other two, while the average winning tally across that stretch stands at 91,4 points.
That is what makes Arsenal’s current position so striking. The leaders are on 70 points with six matches left, so even a perfect finish would only take them to 88. That would still be enough to finish above Leicester’s 81, Liverpool’s 84 from 2024/25 and City’s 86 from 2020/21, but it would leave Arsenal below seven of the last 10 Premier League champions. In other words, they can still win the league, but if they do, the final total would sit in the lower half of the last decade’s winning marks.
Point Tally of the Last 10 Champions in La Liga

Real Madrid’s 100-point season remains the all-time La Liga record, but the more revealing pattern in Spain is how tightly packed the last 10 champions have been. The highest winning total in that period is Real Madrid’s 95 from 2023/24, the lowest is 86, and every champion has finished somewhere inside that nine-point spread. Barcelona have won five of the last 10 titles, Real Madrid four, and Atletico Madrid one, with the average winning tally coming in at 89,4.
Barcelona are already close enough to rewrite that recent picture. They lead on 79 points with seven matches left, which means they can still finish on 100. That would not only take them above every Spanish champion of the last 10 seasons, but also draw them level with the all-time record. Even without winning out, they are already within touching distance of the kind of total that usually ends up top in Spain. If they do go all the way, though, this would become one of the strongest title seasons La Liga has seen.
Point Tally of the Last 10 Champions in Serie A

Juventus still own Serie A’s all-time record with the 102 points they collected in 2013/14, and they also set the highest title-winning total of the last 10 seasons with 95 in 2017/18. The lowest winning mark in that same period is Napoli’s 82 from 2024/25, which shows how wide the Italian spread has been compared with Spain. Juventus have won five of the last 10 titles, Inter and Napoli two each, and Milan one, while the average champion across the decade has finished on 89,3 points.
Inter currently lead on 75 points and can still add 18 more, which leaves them with a maximum of 93. That would still leave them well short of Juventus’ all-time record, but it would place them above eight of the last 10 Serie A champions. Only Juventus’ 95 from 2017/18 and Inter’s own 94 from 2023/24 would remain higher. So even if this title race does not produce a historic Italian points haul, Inter can still finish with one of the strongest winning totals of the past decade.
Point Tally of the Last 10 Champions in the Bundesliga

Bayern Munich’s 91-point title from 2012/13 remains the Bundesliga record, and no team has matched it since. The closest anyone has come in the last 10 seasons is Bayer Leverkusen’s 90 in 2023/24, while the lowest winning tally in that stretch is Bayern’s own 71 from 2022/23. Bayern have won nine of the last 10 German titles, with Leverkusen the only side to break that grip, and the average winning total across the decade is 81,2 points.
This season’s Bayern side now have a real chance to reach the top of that list. They are on 76 points with five matches left, so a perfect finish would take them to 91. That would move them above every Bundesliga champion of the last 10 seasons and draw them level with the league record. They need only six more points to move past the decade average, which shows how quickly a title-winning total can rise in Germany once a leader starts to pull clear.
Point Tally of the Last 10 Champions in Ligue 1

PSG’s 96-point title from 2015/16 remains the Ligue 1 record and still stands as the highest full-season winning total in this study. Once the shortened 2019/20 campaign is removed, the lowest full-season title-winning tally of the last decade becomes PSG’s 76 from 2023/24. PSG have won eight of the last 10 French titles, with Monaco and Lille taking the other two, and the average across the full seasons in the sample is 87,7 points.
PSG lead the current table on 63 points and can still add 21 more, which means their ceiling is 84. Even if they win every remaining match, they would still finish below the recent average and 12 points short of the league record. An 84-point finish would only draw level with PSG’s own 2024/25 title-winning total and would still sit below six of the nine full-season title winners in the sample. That leaves France as the clearest case in the report of a leader moving towards the title on a relatively modest points pace.
Point Tally of the Last 10 Champions in Liga Portugal

Porto’s 91-point title from 2021/22 remains the Liga Portugal record and is also the highest winning tally of the last 10 seasons. At the other end, 82 points have already been enough three times in the same period, for Benfica in 2016/17, Porto in 2019/20 and Sporting in 2024/25. Benfica have won four of the last 10 titles, while Porto and Sporting have taken three each, and the average winning total across the decade is 86,2 points.
Porto are on 76 points with five matches still to play, so they can add another 15 and finish on 91. That means they can still draw level with the league record if they win out. Just six more points would already take them to 82, enough to match the lowest title-winning total in the sample, while 11 more would move them beyond the 10-year average. In Portugal, the current leaders still have the full range open to them, from the lowest winning mark of the last decade all the way up to the best the league has ever seen.
Point Tally of the Last 10 Champions in Eredivisie

PSV’s 91-point title from 2023/24 remains the Eredivisie record and also the highest full-season winning tally in the last 10 seasons once the shortened 2019/20 campaign is removed. The lowest full-season title-winning total in that same sample is PSV’s 79 from 2024/25. PSV and Ajax have won four Dutch titles each across the last decade, Feyenoord two, and the average champion in the full seasons included here has finished on 84,2 points.
This year’s twist is that PSV have already secured the title on 74 points with four matches still to play. They can still add 12 more and finish on 86, which would leave them above the recent average but well short of their own record. The more unusual possibility lies at the lower end. If they take four points or fewer from their final four games, they will finish on 78 or below, which would leave them beneath every previous full-season Eredivisie champion in the sample. So although the title is already theirs, the final tally can still turn this into one of the lightest championship seasons of the Dutch decade.